Being the free market ideologue I am I trust the market to provide the best information about who's most likely to win stuff.
So I was interested to see how Nadal's loss would affect his odds at Wimbledon and the US Open. His odds had lengthened a lot. Fine, so that's probably because he's pulled out of Queens and is actually a doubt for Wimbledon.
His odds for the US also plummeted, but Andy Murray is now joint favourite!! What the hell?